Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.433310 0.496374 0.564576 0.643708 0.732888 0.830170 0.944213
2025-04-27 0.348896 0.437312 0.540836 0.670537 0.828191 1.013082 1.245785
2025-05-04 0.279216 0.380443 0.507952 0.679240 0.902045 1.180626 1.553709
2025-05-11 0.224344 0.330555 0.473748 0.678837 0.962541 1.338249 1.869938
2025-05-18 0.182822 0.289874 0.443623 0.677209 1.018949 1.495554 2.204058
2025-05-25 0.151912 0.258000 0.419598 0.678817 1.077926 1.661173 2.567288
2025-06-01 0.128611 0.232988 0.400947 0.684243 1.141295 1.838161 2.964653
2025-06-08 0.107726 0.207690 0.377235 0.677180 1.182871 1.985070 3.330521
2025-06-15 0.094725 0.193379 0.368932 0.693221 1.262015 2.196785 3.816656
2025-06-22 0.080398 0.173798 0.348130 0.684187 1.296899 2.339062 4.203001
2025-06-29 0.070736 0.161288 0.337943 0.692092 1.361024 2.534846 4.694962
2025-07-06 0.059942 0.144327 0.316513 0.675622 1.378370 2.650405 5.058278
2025-07-13 0.054549 0.138075 0.315639 0.699474 1.474944 2.918166 5.719676
2025-07-20 0.050159 0.133244 0.316958 0.727898 1.583621 3.218505 6.467939
2025-07-27 0.044739 0.124908 0.309474 0.736951 1.654793 3.455287 7.119720
2025-08-03 0.039373 0.115580 0.298262 0.736313 1.705809 3.657755 7.723873
2025-08-10 0.034678 0.106962 0.287250 0.734433 1.753656 3.857856 8.340118
2025-08-17 0.030819 0.099745 0.278376 0.736085 1.809013 4.077567 9.013236
2025-08-24 0.027666 0.093811 0.271688 0.741879 1.873956 4.322353 9.756857
2025-08-31 0.024305 0.086490 0.260197 0.734242 1.907121 4.502623 10.381144
2025-09-07 0.022383 0.083149 0.258717 0.751497 2.000225 4.819509 11.318111
2025-09-14 0.019675 0.076642 0.247437 0.741757 2.027343 4.993447 11.961311
2025-09-21 0.017910 0.072859 0.243244 0.750261 2.100059 5.275449 12.862417